BTC Now vs DCA: Historical Analysis

Compare the performance of buying BTC upfront with installment payments versus dollar-cost averaging across all historical 4-year periods in Bitcoin's history.

Parameters

$
%
Periods Analyzed
140
BTC Now Win Rate
70.7%
99 wins / 41 losses
Avg BTC Now Advantage
+134.6%
Range
+1008.8%to-66.4%

BTC Accumulated per Strategy

BTC Now Advantage by Period

Bars above zero show periods where BTC Now outperformed DCA. Bars below zero show periods where DCA was better.

All 4-Year Periods

PeriodStart PriceEnd PriceBTC NowDCAWinner
2010-07 to 2014-06$0$640600000.000081757.8063BTC Now
2010-08 to 2014-07$0$620500000.000061759.4192BTC Now
2010-09 to 2014-08$0$500500000.000045094.7525BTC Now
2010-10 to 2014-09$0$480300000.000028430.1692BTC Now
2010-11 to 2014-10$0$380120000.000018432.8008BTC Now
2010-12 to 2014-11$0$330120000.000014435.8311BTC Now
2011-01 to 2014-12$0$380100000.000010438.4627BTC Now
2011-02 to 2015-01$1$31033333.33337108.3551BTC Now
2011-03 to 2015-02$1$22037500.00006001.7895BTC Now
2011-04 to 2015-03$1$25040000.00004755.7895BTC Now
2011-05 to 2015-04$8$2453750.00003426.5378BTC Now
2011-06 to 2015-05$27$2351111.11113305.7931DCA
2011-07 to 2015-06$14$2252142.85713273.2005DCA
2011-08 to 2015-07$11$2602727.27273205.6181DCA
2011-09 to 2015-08$5$2856000.00003118.2178BTC Now
2011-10 to 2015-09$3$2309375.00002922.5656BTC Now
2011-11 to 2015-10$3$23510000.00002614.3209BTC Now
2011-12 to 2015-11$4$3257500.00002284.0645BTC Now
2012-01 to 2015-12$5$4305660.37742036.3901BTC Now
2012-02 to 2016-01$4$4306818.18181850.0364BTC Now

Showing first 20 of 140 periods

Methodology

BTC Now Strategy

  • Receive full BTC amount upfront at period start price
  • Pay $1,000.00/month for 48 months
  • Financing at 15% APR (simple interest)
  • Total paid: $48,000.00

DCA Strategy

  • Invest $1,000.00 each month
  • Buy BTC at actual historical prices
  • No financing costs
  • Total invested: $48,000.00